This week, "I Wanna Make You Close Your Eyes" cracks the top-15 and lands at #14! That is up 4 spots from last week! Awesome!
However, before we start celebrating its imminent entrance into the top-10, we need to take a look at everything that's in front of it. The top 10 is currently comprised of fairly new songs, which is generally unhelpful at the moment, because many of those songs (minus "American Ride," which is falling) are still gaining both spins and audience at a similar rate to Dierks.
A song moves to "recurrent" status when it is a "descending non-bulleted song" below #10 in either audience or spins, after 20 weeks. Also, any song that has not shown an increase in audience or spins for more than 2 weeks is moved to recurrent status. Why is this important? Because a number of the songs in the current top 10 have been on the chart for less than 20 weeks -- 7, to be exact -- which means they are less likely to fall into recurrent status within two weeks of their peak. This, in turn, slows down the potential movement for the songs just outside the top 10.
That being said, however, "American Ride" is falling, and "I'm Alive" by Kenny Chesney appears to be reaching its peak. Let's assume those two songs move to recurrent status in 2 weeks. I am guessing that IWMYCYE will move up 1 to #13 next week, just because there isn't a lot of room for it to go, and to #12 the week after. Based on songs moving to recurrent status, it would naturally move up to #10 the week after that. So it's close! It's very, very close. And my assumptions could very well be false (won't be the first time, won't be the last).
Let's turn up the heat at radio, Congress! We don't want to have to wait for those songs to fall off the charts, right? Remind your DJs that it's in the top 15 now and to give it some love! Remind them that it's up to #4 on RateTheMusic.com and is well-received by the public! Tell them we aren't stopping until we hit #1!
~ Carrie S. (DBC Rep/Chart Reporter ~ NC)